Superiority vs Non-Inferiority Trials in AB Testing

Not every experiment needs to show improvement — sometimes proving you haven’t made things worse is enough. A practical guide to non-inferiority trial design.

December 11, 2025 · 5 min · Nikita Podlozhniy

Bayesian A/B Test is NOT immune to peeking

Practical guide: PyMC examples, hierarchical models, loss functions, HDI, and safe stopping rules

November 30, 2025 · 23 min · Nikita Podlozhniy

Linearization: Turning Ratio Metrics into Per-User Metrics

A simple algebraic transformation that converts ratio metrics into independent per-user values, making T-tests and sensitivity techniques directly applicable

October 1, 2024 · 6 min · Nikita Podlozhniy

Delta Method for Ratio Metrics in AB Testing

Correct variance estimation for ratio metrics using the Delta Method — and why naive approaches quietly break your confidence intervals

July 31, 2024 · 6 min · Nikita Podlozhniy

CUPED: Reducing Metric Variance with Pre-Experiment Data

How CUPED uses pre-experiment covariates to cut metric variance and boost AB test sensitivity — with a rigorous proof of what works and what silently breaks

April 18, 2024 · 7 min · Nikita Podlozhniy